What Will Mid-Term Elections Mean for Health Reform?

Leavitt Partners Predicts 70% Chance of Disruption in Medicare Funding Cuts

SALT LAKE CITY--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Lots of people handicap elections. Very few take the next step and say what it means for health reform. Borrowing from the time-worn tradition of creating brackets for various sporting events, Leavitt Partners introduces Health Reform Bracketology, a systematic analysis of various election outcomes and what it means to the implementation of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA). You can become a part of the congressional election health reform madness by visiting www.healthreformbracketology.com.

The Leavitt Partners panel of experts, for example, predicts a 70 percent likelihood that Medicare funding cuts will be modified, repealed or replaced if Republicans retake the majority in the U.S. House of Representatives. This is just one example of the likely disruptions that may lie ahead.

“We live in a time of dramatic change in the health care sector,” said Leavitt Partners chairman Michael O. Leavitt. “This November the industry faces yet another demarcation point – a change in representation in the U.S. Congress that could have serious implications for the direction and implementation of national health reform.”

Leavitt Partners forecasts the odds of disruption in six substantive areas of health reform:

Individual mandate
Employer penalty
Premium subsidies
Medicaid expansion
Medical loss ratio
Medicare funding cuts

Within each area, the Leavitt Partners’ panel of experts forecasts the odds of disruption and the type of disruption (stall, modify or repeal). The analysis is dynamic and will be updated weekly as our experts discern the likely direction of health reform implementation.

“Our analysis sheds light on the ever-changing reality for health care providers, payors and patients,” said Leavitt. “The only thing that is certain is that uncertainty lies ahead. Our forecasts help define the parameters and likelihood of additional changes.”


Leavitt Partners advises clients in the health care and food safety sectors. The firm applies its experience, knowledge and a network of global relationships to supplement the thinking and reach of senior executive teams. For more information visit www.leavittpartners.com or call (801) 538-5082.


Leavitt Partners
Denise Schwarz, 801-656-9716
[email protected]

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